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Posted on November 8, 2018 - 12:30 PM
by Jacob Skiles
There are many unsubstantiated theories about what is happening with home prices. From those who are worried that prices are falling(data shows this is untrue), to those who are concerned that prices are again approaching boom peaks because of “irrational exuberance” (this is also untrue as prices are not at peak levels when they are adjusted for inflation), there seems to be no shortage of opinion.
However, the increase in prices is easily explained by the theory of supply & demand. Whenever there is a limited supply of an item that is in high demand, prices increase. It is that simple. In real estate, it takes a six-month supply of existing salable inventory to maintain pricing stability. In most housing markets, anything less than six months will cause home values to appreciate and anything greater than seven months will cause prices to depreciate (see chart below).
According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the monthly inventory of homes for sale has been below six months for the last five years (see chart below).
If buyer demand continues to outpace the current supply of existing homes for sale, prices will continue to appreciate. Nothing nefarious is taking place. It is simply the theory of supply & demand working as it should.
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Listing Information Copyright 2018 Multiple Listing Service of Lake Ozarks Board of REALTORS®, Inc. Listing Information Copyright 2018 Multiple Listing Service of Bagnell Dam Association of REALTORS® MLS, Inc. The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part courtesy of the Broker Reciprocity Internet Data Exchange Program of the Multiple Listing Service of Lake Ozarks Board of REALTORS®, Inc. The data relating to real estate for sale on this website comes in part courtesy of the Broker Reciprocity Internet Data Exchange Program of the Multiple Listing Service of Bagnell Dam Association of REALTORS® MLS, Inc. Real estate listings held by brokerage firms other than John Farrell Real Estate are governed by MLS Rules and Regulations and detailed information about them includes the name of the listing companies. The information being provided is for consumers' personal, non-commercial use and will not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties consumers may be interested in purchasing. Information herein is believed to be accurate and timely, but no warranty as such is expressed or implied. Information last update on 2018-11-17